Análisis de las partidas arancelarias del año 2014 acorde a la a aplicación de salvaguardas y su impacto en el sector comercial de o oferta y demanda
Fecha
2016
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Universidad de Guayaquil
Resumen
La política de gasto expansivo del gobierno central se ha fundamentado en una ilusión, la de que un precio del petróleo superior a los USD 80 el barril podría mantenerse en el tiempo. Es así que, de todas las políticas en las que se basa este modelo que supone el cambio de matriz productiva se han implementado parcialmente. Este estudio de tipo cuantitativo, aplicando el método analítico, analizo los efectos de aplicar las salvaguardas desde el 2014 y su efecto en el comercio exterior. El estudio revela que la medida de protección adoptada produjo efectos negativos en la economía, es importante eliminar este medidas económicas, retomando los incentivos tributarios y políticas keynesianas para dinamizar el consumo y reactivar la economía del país.
Expansionary spending policy of the central government has been based on an illusion. They believe that the oil price above USD 80 per barrel could be sustained over time. The economic model used, which have become the engine of the economy, has increased dependence on oil prices. It has raising the possibility of a domino effect that could impact directly on employment, Production and Consumption. Thus, of all policies in which this model is based, it is supposed that have been partially implemented. This government have proposed Pillars of Production through a Matrix. The pillars are the following: i) Change of Energy Matrix; ii) Investment in Education and Technology to Produce High Technology goods; iii) Reduction of imports and increase local production; iv) Adding value to exports. However, the progress has been made in the First Two of four pillars proposed and the changes can be seen in the medium and long term. Also leaving in the background industrial policies causing a real effect on the limited productive sector. This research is descriptive with qualitative analysis and a quantitative questionnaire applied to 48 commercial companies to determine the involvement of safeguards to its operations. The analysis reveals that apply tax to protect the local market, it reduce foreign trade. It is important to eliminate this economic policies, reprising the Keynesian policies and tax incentives to boost consumption and reactivate the economy.
Expansionary spending policy of the central government has been based on an illusion. They believe that the oil price above USD 80 per barrel could be sustained over time. The economic model used, which have become the engine of the economy, has increased dependence on oil prices. It has raising the possibility of a domino effect that could impact directly on employment, Production and Consumption. Thus, of all policies in which this model is based, it is supposed that have been partially implemented. This government have proposed Pillars of Production through a Matrix. The pillars are the following: i) Change of Energy Matrix; ii) Investment in Education and Technology to Produce High Technology goods; iii) Reduction of imports and increase local production; iv) Adding value to exports. However, the progress has been made in the First Two of four pillars proposed and the changes can be seen in the medium and long term. Also leaving in the background industrial policies causing a real effect on the limited productive sector. This research is descriptive with qualitative analysis and a quantitative questionnaire applied to 48 commercial companies to determine the involvement of safeguards to its operations. The analysis reveals that apply tax to protect the local market, it reduce foreign trade. It is important to eliminate this economic policies, reprising the Keynesian policies and tax incentives to boost consumption and reactivate the economy.
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Palabras clave
ARANCELES, PRECIOS, IMPORTACIONES, EXPORTACIONES, ESTRATEGIAS COMERCIALES, SALVAGUARDAS