Análisis de los ingresos petroleros del Ecuador y su relación con el gasto público corriente y de capital, período 2014-2019
Fecha
2021-03-03
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Universidad de Guayaquil. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas.
Resumen
El presente trabajo de investigación se encuentra orientado al estudio de los ingresos petroleros del Ecuador. Teniendo como objetivo general, efectuar un análisis de la tendencia de los ingresos petroleros y su incidencia en el gasto público corriente y de capital, en el periodo comprendido entre 2014-2019. Para su desarrollo se utilizó un enfoque cuantitativo, debido a que el perfil cuantitativo facultó la evaluación de datos estructurados con el fin de explicar los eventos registrados en las variables de estudio, estos datos fueron extraídos de instituciones como el Banco Central del Ecuador y el Ministerio de Economía y Finanzas. Se efectuó una evaluación cuantitativa que derivo en la generación de evidencia para aceptar la hipótesis planteada, ya que las variables se encuentran relacionadas entre sí, con un nivel de significancia del 95%. En función del análisis descriptivo se evidenció una alta volatilidad de los ingresos petroleros, a consecuencia de las fluctuaciones en el precio internacional del barril de petróleo. En el periodo de estudio, la tendencia de los ingresos petroleros fue negativa, mientras que los gastos corrientes denotaron una tendencia positiva, representando un 72% del gasto total. De forma contraria, los gastos de capital reflejaron una tendencia negativa y una representación del 28% del total de gastos del país.
This research work is oriented to the study of Ecuador's oil revenues. With the general objective, to carry out an analysis of the trend of oil revenues and their impact on current public and capital expenditure, in the period from 2014-2019. A quantitative approach was used for its development, because the quantitative profile empowered the evaluation of structured data in order to explain the events recorded in the study variables, this data was extracted from institutions such as the Central Bank of Ecuador and the Ministry of Economy and Finance. A quantitative assessment was carried out that derive in the generation of evidence to accept the hypothesis raised, since the variables are related to each other, with a significance level of 95%. Based on the descriptive analysis, high volatility in oil revenues was evident as a result of fluctuations in the international price of the barrel of oil. During the study period, the trend in oil revenues was negative, while current expenditures denoted a positive trend, accounting for 72% of total expenditure. Conversely, capital expenditures reflected a negative trend and a 28% representation of the country's total expenditures.
This research work is oriented to the study of Ecuador's oil revenues. With the general objective, to carry out an analysis of the trend of oil revenues and their impact on current public and capital expenditure, in the period from 2014-2019. A quantitative approach was used for its development, because the quantitative profile empowered the evaluation of structured data in order to explain the events recorded in the study variables, this data was extracted from institutions such as the Central Bank of Ecuador and the Ministry of Economy and Finance. A quantitative assessment was carried out that derive in the generation of evidence to accept the hypothesis raised, since the variables are related to each other, with a significance level of 95%. Based on the descriptive analysis, high volatility in oil revenues was evident as a result of fluctuations in the international price of the barrel of oil. During the study period, the trend in oil revenues was negative, while current expenditures denoted a positive trend, accounting for 72% of total expenditure. Conversely, capital expenditures reflected a negative trend and a 28% representation of the country's total expenditures.
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GASTO CORRIENTE, GASTO DE CAPITAL, INGRESOS PETROLEROS, CORRELACIÓN