Déficit fiscal y financiamiento externo de Ecuador, período 2014-2020
Fecha
2021-03-01
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Universidad de Guayaquil. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas
Resumen
El objetivo principal de esta investigación fue Exponer el comportamiento del déficit fiscal y
su incidencia en el financiamiento externo de Ecuador durante el periodo 2014-2020. Este
análisis se desarrolló con base en un diseño descriptivo con un enfoque mixto, cualitativo
cuantitativo, sobre la base de datos publicados por instituciones públicas y privadas. Del
análisis de los resultados, se concluye que la política fiscal de mantener un déficit constante
durante el periodo de estudio fue insostenible. Además, que el indicador de brecha fiscal
crecimiento económico evidencia la insostenibilidad de la política fiscal durante todo el
periodo de estudio, pues en promedio se requería de un esfuerzo fiscal que mantuviera
constante la relación deuda externa del gobierno/PIB, de un superávit de 5,5% del PIB o en
todo caso de una reducción del gasto en la misma medida o del incremento de los ingresos
The main objective of this research was to expose the behavior of the fiscal deficit and its impact on Ecuador's external financing during the 2014-2020 period. This analysis was developed based on a descriptive design with a mixed, qualitative-quantitative approach, based on data published by public and private institutions. From the analysis of the results, it is concluded that the fiscal policy of maintaining a constant deficit during the study period was unsustainable. In addition, the fiscal gap-economic growth indicator shows the unsustainability of fiscal policy throughout the study period, since on average a fiscal effort was required to keep the government's external debt / GDP ratio constant, with a surplus of 5.5% of GDP or in any case a reduction in spending to the same extent or an increase in income.
The main objective of this research was to expose the behavior of the fiscal deficit and its impact on Ecuador's external financing during the 2014-2020 period. This analysis was developed based on a descriptive design with a mixed, qualitative-quantitative approach, based on data published by public and private institutions. From the analysis of the results, it is concluded that the fiscal policy of maintaining a constant deficit during the study period was unsustainable. In addition, the fiscal gap-economic growth indicator shows the unsustainability of fiscal policy throughout the study period, since on average a fiscal effort was required to keep the government's external debt / GDP ratio constant, with a surplus of 5.5% of GDP or in any case a reduction in spending to the same extent or an increase in income.
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PRESUPUESTO GENERAL DEL ESTADO, POLÍTICA FISCAL, DEUDA PÚBLICA EXTERNA, CRÉDITO MULTILATERAL