La relación comercial entre Ecuador y China, periodo 2010-2023: Perspectivas y proyecciones económicas del Tratado de Libre Comercio.
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2024-03
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Universidad de Guayaquil. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas.
Resumen
Este trabajo de la relación comercial entre Ecuador y China, periodo 2010-2023: perspectivas y proyecciones económicas del tratado de libre comercio; centrándose en exportaciones, importaciones y su impacto en la balanza comercial ecuatoriana en el periodo determinado. Se examino en un periodo de tiempo de aproximadamente de 13 años como evolucionaron las relaciones comerciales y tendencias de este nuevo mercado, desagregando la balanza comercial, examinando tendencias y obteniendo información referente al uso de instrumentos de política comercial que influyeran en la balanza comercial. Para la elaboración de la hipótesis de investigación se examinó evidencia teórica y se usó un modelo regresión lineal múltiple cuyos resultados confirman la hipótesis, demostrando que la implementación del tratado de libre comercio genera un desequilibrio en la balanza comercial. Se creo una propuesta cuyo propósito será la influencia de la balanza comercial, en consecuencia, maximizará los futuros resultados del comercio bilateral a favor de Ecuador.
This work on the commercial relationship between Ecuador and China, spanning the period 2010-2023, explores the economic perspectives and projections of the free trade agreement. It focuses on exports, imports, and their impact on Ecuador's trade balance during the specified timeframe. Over approximately 13 years, the evolution of commercial relations and trends in this new market were examined, breaking down the trade balance, scrutinizing trends, and gathering information regarding the use of trade policy instruments influencing the trade balance. In formulating the research hypothesis, theoretical evidence was examined, and a multiple linear regression model was employed. The results confirm the hypothesis, demonstrating that the implementation of the free trade agreement causes an imbalance in the trade balance, decreasing it by -$438.04 million. A proposal was developed with the aim of influencing the trade balance and, consequently, maximizing future outcomes of bilateral trade in favor of Ecuador.
This work on the commercial relationship between Ecuador and China, spanning the period 2010-2023, explores the economic perspectives and projections of the free trade agreement. It focuses on exports, imports, and their impact on Ecuador's trade balance during the specified timeframe. Over approximately 13 years, the evolution of commercial relations and trends in this new market were examined, breaking down the trade balance, scrutinizing trends, and gathering information regarding the use of trade policy instruments influencing the trade balance. In formulating the research hypothesis, theoretical evidence was examined, and a multiple linear regression model was employed. The results confirm the hypothesis, demonstrating that the implementation of the free trade agreement causes an imbalance in the trade balance, decreasing it by -$438.04 million. A proposal was developed with the aim of influencing the trade balance and, consequently, maximizing future outcomes of bilateral trade in favor of Ecuador.
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TECNOLOGÍA, CRECIMIENTO ECONÓMICO, BALANZA COMERCIAL, TRATADO DE LIBRE COMERCIO