Análisis de las metodologías de sostenibilidad de la deuda: Caso Ecuador mayo 2017
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2020-04
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Facultad de Ciencias Económicas. Universidad de Guayaquil
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Definir la sostenibilidad de la deuda de un país es importante para mantener el equilibrio de las finanzas públicas, por ello, el objetivo de esta investigación es analizar mediante las distintas metodologías e indicadores si la deuda en Ecuador era sostenible en 2017. La problemática radica en los países en desarrollado no puede mantener altos niveles de deuda porque frena su desarrollo. Ecuador recurrió a préstamos externos desde 2012, comportamiento que se profundizo en los años de la crisis (2015 – 2016) por shocks externos y acontecimientos pocos previsibles. Mediáticamente, esto fue considerado de sobreendeudamiento e insostenibilidad. Se concluye que la insostenibilidad de la deuda se redujo para el 2017 en cada una de las metodologías seleccionadas y aplicadas
It is important to define the sustainability of the debt of a country in order to maintain the balance of public finance. Therefore, the objective of this research is to analyse through the different methodologies and indicators if the debt in Ecuador was sustainable in 2017. The main problem for developing countries is to have high levels of debt which causes their slow development as well. Ecuador demanded external loans since 2012, repeating this operation in depth during the crisis period (2015-2016) due to the external shocks and events not foreseeable. In media terms, this was considered over-indebtedness and unsustainability. The conclusion is that unsustainability of the debt was reduced for 2017 in each of the selected and applied methodologies.
It is important to define the sustainability of the debt of a country in order to maintain the balance of public finance. Therefore, the objective of this research is to analyse through the different methodologies and indicators if the debt in Ecuador was sustainable in 2017. The main problem for developing countries is to have high levels of debt which causes their slow development as well. Ecuador demanded external loans since 2012, repeating this operation in depth during the crisis period (2015-2016) due to the external shocks and events not foreseeable. In media terms, this was considered over-indebtedness and unsustainability. The conclusion is that unsustainability of the debt was reduced for 2017 in each of the selected and applied methodologies.
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DEUDA PÚBLICA, FINANZAS PÚBLICAS, METODOLOGÍAS DE LA SOSTENIBILIDAD DE LA DEUDA, INDICADORES DE VULNERABILIDAD