El volumen de crédito y la relación con la producción agropecuaria de la provincia de Manabí periodo 2010-2019.
Fecha
2020-09
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Facultad de Ciencias Económicas. Universidad de Guayaquil
Resumen
La investigación se desarrolló bajo el objetivo general de analizar el volumen de crédito agropecuario y su incidencia en la producción primaria de Manabí durante el periodo 2010-2019. Para esto se planteó una metodología cuantitativa con alcances de tipo descriptivo y correlacional que buscaría determinar la evolución del crédito, examinar el comportamiento de la producción del sector trazado y determinar la relación entre las variables seleccionados. La problemática se delimitó por el inacceso a servicios financieros por parte de los productores agropecuarios de la provincia, y sobre cómo esta circunstancia dificulta la operación productiva de dichos agentes. De tal manera se incurrió en un análisis longitudinal de los indicadores inherentes a la temática, para luego establecer la correlación entre las variables a partir de una modelización de series de tiempo a través del software STATA. Develando que existe una relación positiva entre el volumen de crédito y el valor agregado bruto agropecuario, pero con una determinación baja y autocorrelación elevada.
The research was developed under the general objective of analyzing the volume of agricultural credit and its incidence in the primary production of Manabí during the period 2010-2019. For this, a quantitative methodology was proposed with descriptive and correlational scopes that would seek to determine the evolution of credit, examine the behavior of the production of the sector traced and determine the relationship between the selected variables. The problem was delimited by the lack of access to financial services by agricultural producers in the province, and how this circumstance hinders the productive operation of said agents. In this way, a longitudinal analysis of the indicators inherent to the subject was carried out, to then establish the correlation between the variables from a time series modeling through the STATA software. Revealing that there is a positive relationship between the volume of credit and the agricultural gross value added, but with a low determination and high autocorrelation.
The research was developed under the general objective of analyzing the volume of agricultural credit and its incidence in the primary production of Manabí during the period 2010-2019. For this, a quantitative methodology was proposed with descriptive and correlational scopes that would seek to determine the evolution of credit, examine the behavior of the production of the sector traced and determine the relationship between the selected variables. The problem was delimited by the lack of access to financial services by agricultural producers in the province, and how this circumstance hinders the productive operation of said agents. In this way, a longitudinal analysis of the indicators inherent to the subject was carried out, to then establish the correlation between the variables from a time series modeling through the STATA software. Revealing that there is a positive relationship between the volume of credit and the agricultural gross value added, but with a low determination and high autocorrelation.
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VOLUMEN DE CRÉDITO, SECTOR AGROPECUARIO, MANABÍ, CORRELACIÓN
Citación
APA